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Explained: What's the most likely outcome for the Middle East conflict?

Author
Newstalk ZB,
Publish Date
Wed, 22 Apr 2026, 6:25pm
The Middle East, including Dubai above, was previously a major transit point for long-haul travel for New Zealand, particularly to Europe. Photo / Gallo Images
The Middle East, including Dubai above, was previously a major transit point for long-haul travel for New Zealand, particularly to Europe. Photo / Gallo Images

Explained: What's the most likely outcome for the Middle East conflict?

Author
Newstalk ZB,
Publish Date
Wed, 22 Apr 2026, 6:25pm

A former CIA officer suspects Iran's regime will be allowed to remain in power at the end of the conflict - more hardline than ever.

The US President claims Iran's leadership is fractured and needs more time to produce a proposal.  

Donald Trump's continuing to blockade Iranian ports, saying it will continue until Iran comes to the table with a plan.

Glenn Carle says the best deal we can hope for now, is for the Strait of Hormuz to reopen and inspections of Iran's nuclear facilities.

"Trump, whatever happens, will of course declare a victory. And since he won't invade, he'll basically walk away, I'm afraid." 

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