So, two political polls out this week and what do we know?
Well we know next year’s election will be a nail biter.
If we were in a first past the post system, National may have reason to feel smug.
But we’re not.
In an MMP environment the one thing you need is friends, and yes, based on TV1’s Colmar Brunton, National could govern alone with just Act, but that was just one poll. TV’s Reid Research one didn’t have them at those numbers.
Still, if Labour and the Greens can’t do it either, we have to weigh into the mix NZ First. We cannot rule them out (more’s the pity).
At this stage NZ First is not polling above the five percent threshold in either poll.
They’re a hard party to read because their support wavers so much and many NZ First voters are in the closet.
But what I have noticed the past few weeks in the feedback to this show, is a consistent message from NZ First voters. Disillusionment. A lot of people messaging me saying they’ll never vote NZ First again.
That they feel let down, that Winston sold out, that he backed stuff they’d never support, like the UN Migration Pact and the gun buyback.
Many are still reeling from the fact he went with Labour, when they’d believed he’d go with National.
And NZ First still have that minority party vibe about them, despite being in government.
They play fast and loose with the rules.
They seemingly don’t care, from Winston’s constant baiting and aggressive approach to the media, his vanishing acts, his constant defence of wildcard Shane Jones..
Jones' own outlandish comments and behaviour.
And recently even some in-fighting issues for the party with recent leaks.
So can this scrapper of a party which languish’s below the five percent threshold make it back next year to be kingmaker once more? Or have they done their chips?
I’d like to think that by now, NZ First supporters have worked out that a vote for them, is a vote for a Labour-Green coalition government.
Winston sold out.
Hopefully that’s been made abundantly clear, and hopefully this time round, we’ll be able to bid them goodbye once and for all.