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Can Bolivia’s new leader fix an economy on the brink?

Author
AFP,
Publish Date
Mon, 20 Oct 2025, 2:25pm
Bolivians elected pro-business senator Rodrigo Paz as president, ending two decades of socialist rule. Photo / Getty Images
Bolivians elected pro-business senator Rodrigo Paz as president, ending two decades of socialist rule. Photo / Getty Images

Can Bolivia’s new leader fix an economy on the brink?

Author
AFP,
Publish Date
Mon, 20 Oct 2025, 2:25pm

Bolivians today elected a pro-business centre-right senator as their new President, ending two decades of socialist rule that have left the South American nation deep in economic crisis.

With 97% of ballots counted, Rodrigo Paz had 54.5% of the vote compared to 45.4% for his rival, right-wing former interim President Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga, the Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE) said.

Paz, the 58-year-old son of a former President, has vowed a “capitalism for all” approach to economic reform, with decentralisation, lower taxes and financial discipline, mixed with continued social spending.

With dollars and fuel in short supply and annual inflation at more than 20%, weary voters snubbed the Movement Toward Socialism party founded by former President Evo Morales in a first electoral round in August.

Bolivia is enduring its worst economic crisis in decades, with long queues now a common sight at service stations.

“We hope the country improves,” homemaker Maria Eugenia Penaranda, 56, said, bundled up against the cold as she cast her vote in La Paz, about 3600m above sea level.

“We cannot make ends meet. There is a lot of suffering. Too much,” she told AFP.

The election closes out an economic experiment marked by initial prosperity funded by Morales’ nationalisation of fuel reserves.

The boom was followed by bust, notably critical shortages of fuel and foreign currency under outgoing leader Luis Arce.

Successive governments under-invested in the country’s hydrocarbons sector, once the backbone of the economy.

Production plummeted and Bolivia almost depleted its dollar reserves to sustain a universal subsidy for fuel that it also cannot afford to import.

Patience ‘running out’

Analyst Daniela Osorio of the German Institute for Global and Area Studies told AFP that Bolivians’ patience was running out.

Once the election is over, she warned, “if the winner does not take measures to help the most vulnerable, this could lead to a social uprising”.

Paz faces an uphill task, inheriting an economy in recession, according to the World Bank.

He had promised to maintain social programmes while stabilising the economy, but economists have said the two things are not possible at the same time.

Like Quiroga, Paz also proposed cutting the universal fuel subsidy, keeping it only for public transportation.

Bolivia faces its worst economic crisis in decades, with shortages of fuel and foreign currency. Photo / Getty Images

Bolivia faces its worst economic crisis in decades, with shortages of fuel and foreign currency. Photo / Getty Images

Difficult to heal

“If the people of Bolivia grant me the opportunity to be president,” Paz said as he voted, “my format will be that of consensus”.

Paz will not have a party majority in Congress, meaning he will need to make concessions to get laws passed.

Outside Congress, the new President will also face stiff opposition from Morales, who remains popular especially among Indigenous Bolivians, but was constitutionally barred from seeking another term.

Morales told reporters the two candidates each represent only “a handful of people in Bolivia, they do not represent the popular movement, much less the Indigenous movement”.

Morales is the target of an arrest warrant for human trafficking over an alleged sexual relationship with a minor – an accusation he denies.

Arce is due to leave office on November 8 after serving a single presidential term that began in 2020.

Bolivia’s constitution allows for two terms, but he did not seek re-election.

Nearly eight million people were eligible to cast ballots and voting is mandatory.

– Agence France-Presse

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